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Investment outlook

Above and below the radar: five themes for 2026

Investing requires radar-like capabilities. As investors, we continually track economic, market and issuer fundamentals to identify compelling opportunities and salient risks. This can be challenging, especially in today’s environment. Solid but slowing global economic growth, combined with persistent inflation, is muddling the monetary policy outlook. Geopolitical and trade tensions, as well as lingering impacts from missing or delayed data during the U.S. government shutdown, are also jamming the transmission of investment signals.

That said, two primary pulses are detectable: high equity valuations and tight credit spreads. Still-elevated levels of cash on the sidelines can’t be ignored, either. The real value of that cash, however, is being eroded by a gradual drop in short-term interest rates and the presence of stubborn inflation. So where might investors want to put cash to work?

We invite you to learn more about our “Five themes for 2026,” with a more detailed readout of our preferences for:

Explore our outlook

Latest insights

Weekly CIO Commentary Triple tailwinds buoy municipal bond prospects
Municipal bonds currently exhibit tailwinds that could buoy them into 2026
Investment Outlook The insurer’s way to invest in real assets
Views from the TIAA General Account
Investment Outlook 2026 annual outlook: Above and below the radar – understanding today’s markets
We invite you to learn more about our “Five themes for 2026,” in our latest GIC outlook.

Additional insights and resources

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