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In the post-great moderation world, institutional investors are facing a radically new environment. The underlying assumptions that have driven many investment strategies over the last 40 years must be reexamined. This paper explores nine implications that can help empower investors with the agility needed to navigate the uncertainties of the new economic environment.
Key themes
- A post-great moderation world is a volatile world
- Beware the declining utility of global cap-weighted allocations
- Should government bonds be considered a risk asset?
- Lower expected returns are a thing of the past
- Appreciate the scarcity value of real assets
- AI is a double-edged sword when it comes to inflation
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