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For institutional investors, the current environment presents asymmetric opportunities: negative sentiment has created valuation dislocations while fundamental transition drivers persist, providing an opportunity for strategic portfolio repositioning toward climate solutions with attractive risk-adjusted returns across both public and private markets.
Key themes
- The global energy transition continues to progress with mixed momentum across key indicators. This year's assessment downgrades the clean energy capex indicator from "accelerant" to "neutral" due to stagnating growth in the capital deployment ratio. Conversely, EV infrastructure has been upgraded to "neutral" from "bottleneck''.
- Investor sentiment has deteriorated despite continued transition progress evidenced by sustained advancement in clean energy deployment and climate technology innovation.
- Artificial intelligence demand creates both transition headwinds, such as potentially delaying coal phase out efforts, and positive catalysts such as the Hyperscalers recent foray into innovative zero-carbon baseload technologies.
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