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CLO equity: Where does it fit in investor allocations?
Highlights
- Classifying CLO equity – fixed income, equity or something else entirely
- Allocating CLO equity to investment portfolios by investor type, objectives and risk tolerance
CLO equity has garnered increasing levels of investor interest, primarily due to the potential for high returns driven by a robust yield profile – a relative rarity in today’s low-yield investment landscape. Many investors view CLO equity as one of the few remaining pockets of inefficiency in the financial markets, since many otherwise-sophisticated investors shun the asset class due to perceived complexity, opacity, and (erroneous) connections with the toxic CDOs that became synonymous with the 2008 global financial crisis.
For investors able to move past these biases and consider CLO equity as a viable investment alternative, the next question is often: how should CLO equity be classified? Is it a fixed income instrument? An equity investment, as the name suggests? Or something else entirely? Choosing the right “bucket” for CLO equity is critical for investors seeking to optimize portfolio allocations.
Choosing the right “bucket” for CLO equity is critical for investors seeking to optimize portfolio allocations.
CLO equity sits at the intersection of at least three key asset groupings
1. Fixed income: Since CLOs effectively bundle together corporate loans into diversified portfolios, they are closely linked with the ups and downs of the leveraged finance market, which is a subset of the broader fixed income space. CLO equity also pays regular quarterly distributions to investors, generating a yield-based return profile similar to other fixed income instruments.
2. Equity: Although they are ultimately composed of debt instruments, CLOs are also securitization vehicles with their own capital structures consisting of rated debt tranches all the way down to unrated equity. Risk levels increase with every step down in the capital structure, and when investor risk appetite decreases, CLO equity valuations often move in tandem with broader equity markets. However, the underlying risk in a CLO consists of senior secured loans to corporations, effectively limiting downside risk relative to “pure” equity markets exposure. The quarterly distributions paid by CLO equity tranches also serve to stabilize the return profile relative to equities.
3. Alternatives: Alternatives are a “broad brush” category which can refer to everything from private equity funds to distressed debt to opportunistic credit. CLO equity often falls into this classification due to illiquidity, complexity or other shared features with the universe of alternative investment options.
Which classification is appropriate?
As a manager of CLOs since the early days of the market, Nuveen has gathered input from a wide universe of CLO equity investors, and the answer is: it depends. The answer varies based on investor type, portfolio objectives and risk tolerance.
In June 2021, Nuveen hosted a discussion with members of the institutional investor and consultant communities exploring the role of CLO equity in broader investment portfolios, among other topics. During this discussion, we held an informal survey asking participants where they would consider allocating CLO equity within their portfolios. Below is a breakdown of the responses on this topic.
Option one: The alternatives bucket
One of the most popular destinations for CLO equity is in the alternatives bucket alongside private equity vehicles, such as LBO funds, private capital vehicles or venture capital funds. This tends to be the favored approach with many family office investors as well as public pensions, for a number of reasons.
Firstly, these investors tend to view CLO equity as a longer-term investment similar to traditional private equity funds which have 5+ year return horizons. CLO equity also tends to be considered an illiquid investment similar to a closed-end private fund. In addition, CLO equity typically targets a mid-teens return profile similar to alternative asset classes such as private equity – checking another box in this classification matrix. However, the return profile of CLO equity differs from that of traditional private equity investments due to its lack of J-curve. CLO equity returns are driven by quarterly cashflows beginning shortly after inception, unlike private equity funds, which can take multiple years to begin returning capital to investors. From this perspective, CLO equity can provide an attractive pairing for these longer-dated investments, front-loading cashflows and serving to smooth out the overall return profile of the broader alternatives bucket. This is of particular importance to pension-based investors who seek a consistent stream of cashflow-based returns in order to meet the needs of their plan constituents.
Some investors allocating CLO equity to the PE bucket point to an additional rationale, since many of the debt instruments held by a CLO are effectively loans to PE-backed companies. From this perspective, it can be argued that the equity tranche of a CLO effectively recreates the equity exposure held by private equity funds, since they are both effectively leveraged investments in corporations. However, unlike the concentrated portfolios of PE fund vehicles, CLOs are built around diversified portfolios of anywhere from 150 to 200+ underlying positions. Many investors view this as an important source of diversification in alternatives buckets, particularly in investment programs seeking to limit manager count or to reduce manager concentration risk. As an added benefit, the underlying portfolios of CLOs consist of relatively liquid bank loans which can be actively managed, unlike traditional PE funds. Managers have the flexibility to reposition exposures based on changing markets and risk appetites.
Option two: The fixed income bucket
For other investors, CLO equity sits within the fixed income bucket, sometimes alongside bank loans and high yield bonds or within a securitized sub-allocation. This is often the preferred approach of insurance-based investors, particularly those entities that purchase CLO equity directly rather than taking exposure via commingled private fund vehicles. Insurance entities, particularly reinsurance investors, may also gain exposure to CLO equity via non-payment insurance arrangements, effectively insuring the risk of loss for a funding counterparty in exchange for the return upside.
Investors who classify CLO equity within a fixed income allocation are often motivated by longer-term objectives which are aligned with the broader fixed income universe, particularly the theme of consistent income. And since CLO equity is essentially a floating rate instrument (given the floating rate nature of underlying CLO portfolios), it can also serve to reduce overall duration risk in a fixed income portfolio – an added benefit for investors concerned about the longer-term risk of rising rates.
Option three: Idiosyncratic or opportunistic credit
Many sophisticated institutional investors, such as larger-scale ($10B+) pension investors, consider CLO equity as an “idiosyncratic” credit allocation, similar to specialty finance, distressed investments, or esoteric ABS. This is motivated by a number of factors.
Similar to other non-traditional credit betas, CLO equity combines foundational credit characteristics with other idiosyncratic factors not typically found in “mainstream” asset classes. In particular, CLO equity effectively contains an embedded call option on credit spreads, driven by the term financing structure of CLO vehicles. Although it may sound counter-intuitive, a CLO equity investor can potentially benefit from periods of widening credit spreads — provided they are invested with a CLO manager skilled enough to minimize losses due to defaults. This is because CLOs are actively managed vehicles which can reinvest into new, higher-yielding bank loans when spreads widen.
CLO equity investors can benefit from an improved arbitrage given that the liabilities issued by a CLO (the CLO debt), is issued at coupons which stay fixed for the ~12-year life of the CLO. The most powerful proof statement of this phenomenon is the returns of CLOs issued immediately prior to the GFC, which far outstripped all other vintages of CLOs.
Conclusion
Our intentions for the future shape our decisions in the present; an investor’s allocation decision with respect to CLO equity is ultimately underpinned by broader investment objectives. Since CLO equity can bring multiple benefits to a diversified portfolio, investors are often driven by a variety of objectives which in turn lead to multiple allocation options. For this reason, we find that there are many potential homes for CLO equity within investor portfolios, underscoring the multifaceted nature of this enigmatic asset class.
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Endnotes
This material is not intended to be a recommendation or investment advice, does not constitute a solicitation to buy, sell or hold a security or an investment strategy, and is not provided in a fiduciary capacity. The information provided does not take into account the specific objectives or circumstances of any particular investor, or suggest any specific course of action. Investment decisions should be made based on an investor’s objectives and circumstances and in consultation with his or her financial professionals. The views and opinions expressed are for informational and educational purposes only as of the date of production/writing and may change without notice at any time based on numerous factors, such as market or other conditions, legal and regulatory developments, additional risks and uncertainties and may not come to pass. This material may contain “forward-looking” information that is not purely historical in nature. Such information may include, among other things, projections, forecasts, estimates of market returns, and proposed or expected portfolio composition. Any changes to assumptions that may have been made in preparing this material could have a material impact on the information presented herein by way of example. Past performance is no guarantee of future results.
All information has been obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but its accuracy is not guaranteed. There is no representation or warranty as to the current accuracy, reliability or completeness of, nor liability for, decisions based on such information and it should not be relied on as such.
CFA® and Chartered Financial Analyst ® are registered trademarks owned by CFA Institute.
A word on risk
All investments carry a certain degree of risk, including loss of principal, and there is no assurance that an investment will provide positive performance over any period of time. Any investment in collateralized loan obligations or other structured vehicles involves significant risks not associated with more conventional investment alternatives. The portfolios described herein are dynamic and may change over time. Use of the investment process tools and techniques described herein is no guarantee of investment success or positive performance.
Nuveen Asset Management, LLC is a registered investment adviser and an affiliate of Nuveen, LLC.
