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next issue no. 4: Investment corner

Delivering more: can guaranteed investment strategies help?


Transitioning from “employee” to “retiree” is a complex process and the result of countless decisions employers and employees make over the course of many years. The employee’s decisions include how much to contribute, how to allocate contributions, avoiding loans and staying the course. The employer’s decisions largely center on plan design, which include matching contributions, auto features and investment selection. As the employee-to-retiree transition begins, there is a new series of interdependent decisions between employee and employer: mainly what options do employees have to transition their retirement savings into income?

The majority of 401(k) plans offer limited support at this transition point, unlike their defined benefit and 403(b) cousins that were designed to provide guaranteed income in retirement. The recent passing of the SECURE Act (Setting Every Community Up for Retirement Enhancement Act) acknowledged this. In an attempt to encourage the inclusion of lifetime income options on plan menus, the law expands the fiduciary safe harbor for the selection of an annuity provider if certain conditions are met.1 This is a critical step aimed at helping 401(k)s evolve.

The benefits of an in-plan guaranteed income solution are often attributed to retirees who are focusing on the simplicity of a consistent stream of income.2 However, there are potential benefits of including guaranteed income solutions in a plan menu for employees who are still in the process of growing their retirement savings. Annuities have the potential not only to provide income for life at retirement, but may also help employees save more, guarantee growth and protect retirement savings.

Default dependent

Most corporate defined contribution plans use target date funds as their default investment option. While target date funds remain an important and popular retirement savings tool, there may be opportunities to improve asset allocation strategies. Nearly 7 in 10 Americans say guaranteed retirement income is the most important thing their retirement plan should provide, but at the same time, 63% of employees incorrectly believe they’ll get that from their target date funds.2

One way 401(k) plans can advance is by enhancing the default option. Target date funds and other asset allocation strategies, such as managed accounts, will continue to develop and evolve into vehicles with the portfolio strength, investment diversity and performance that will help support employees to and through retirement.

Performance potential

Rigorous modeling can demonstrate how adding a guaranteed investment component, such as a deferred fixed annuity, to target date funds may improve the overall portfolio. A guaranteed investment component helps manage the downside risk of fixed income markets, while protecting potential returns. In fact, modeling examples have shown improvement in fund returns and a noticeable reduction in standard deviation of returns, particularly during fixed-income bear markets, providing investors with the assurance of principal safety and guaranteed interest even in the most volatile markets. To demonstrate this, we modeled two different strategies:

Strategy A: hypothetical mixed-asset portfolio returns without a guaranteed investment component

Strategy B: hypothetical mixed-asset portfolio returns with a guaranteed investment component

Asset mix modeling

Strategy A: This modeling example simulates the one-year return of a hypothetical retirement income target date fund and considers a variety of equity and fixed income return scenarios. The one-year return is shown in the row/column intersections in the table below:

Chart for Strategy A: hypothetical equity returns


Strategy B: Like Strategy A, this model uses the same simulated one-year returns of a hypothetical retirement income target date fund and considers a variety of equity and fixed income return scenarios. However, Strategy B substitutes 75% of the fixed income sleeve with a guaranteed investment that pays 2.5% interest. The result shows the potential for an increase in overall returns of the target date fund/account in markets where the fixed income sleeve returns less than the guaranteed investment, such as in a rising interest-rate environment.

Chart for Strategy B: hypothetical equity returns


Model results


The scenario below demonstrates how the guaranteed investment component in Strategy B offers downside protection and can stabilize overall fund returns. The scenario shows a 1.32% average return improvement across a range of fixed income returns (-4% to 4%). The improvement in one-year returns with the guaranteed investment component is most pronounced when the traditional fixed income sleeve experiences poor performance (e.g., during a rising interest rate environment). When traditional fixed income returns are 2.5% — i.e., equal to the returns from the guaranteed investment component — overall returns remain unchanged between the two strategies.

Chart for Change in return from employing Strategy B vs. Strategy A
 

Summary

Incorporating a guaranteed investment option into target date funds and other asset allocation arrangements, such as managed accounts, can enhance and protect overall portfolio returns. Modeling illustrates how a guaranteed investment strategy can help stabilize fund returns and reduce downside performance in a multi-asset portfolio, helping plan participants minimize market risk and sequence of returns while they prepare for, and live in, retirement. If the guaranteed investment also provides the option for lifetime income, the approach can also help participants generate income in retirement that they can never outlive.

 
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Dimitrios N. Stathopoulos
Head of Americas Institutional Advisory Services
1 For more information on the SECURE Act, please see the article on page 10.
2 An in-plan guaranteed income solution is offered to participants by the plan sponsor within a retirement plan. An out-of-plan income solution is selected by an individual and is not a direct investment option on the plan menu.

The views and opinions expressed are for informational and educational purposes only as of the date of production/writing and may change without notice at any time based on numerous factors, such as market or other conditions, legal and regulatory developments, additional risks and uncertainties and may not come to pass. This material may contain “forward-looking” information that is not purely historical in nature. Such information may include, among other things, projections, forecasts, estimates of market returns, and proposed or expected portfolio composition. Any changes to assumptions that may have been made in preparing this material could have a material impact on the information presented herein by way of example.

Past performance is no guarantee of future results. Investing involves risk; principal loss is possible.

Please note that this information should not replace a client’s consultation with a professional advisor regarding their tax situation. Nuveen is not a tax advisor. Clients should consult their professional advisors before making any tax or investment decisions.

Glossary

The 30-day Treasury Bill is a short-term debt obligation backed by the Treasury Department of the U.S. government with a maturity of less than one year.

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This material may contain “forward-looking” information that is not purely historical in nature. Such information may include projections, forecasts, estimates of yields or returns, and proposed or expected portfolio composition. Moreover, certain historical performance information of other investment vehicles or composite accounts managed by Nuveen may be included in this material and such performance information is presented by way of example only. No representation is made that the performance presented will be achieved, or that every assumption made in achieving, calculating or presenting either the forward-looking information or the historical performance information herein has been considered or stated in preparing this material. Any changes to assumptions that may have been made in preparing this material could have a material impact on the investment returns that are presented herein by way of example.

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This information does not constitute investment research as defined under MiFID.

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